Technical outlook:

The US dollar index dropped through 97.75 lows on Thursday before finding some support. The index has pulled back higher through 98.60 mark at this time in writing and is expected to turn lower again towards 97.00 and 95.00 levels near term. Bears might be inclined to hold prices below 99.50-60 zone going forward.

The US dollar index has also managed to produce a bearish Evening Star candlestick pattern on the daily chart after touching 99.50-60 mark. This could be an indication of a potential trend reversal going forward. A break below 95.00 will confirm the same and that bears are back in control for long term.

Immediate price support is seen through 94.60, followed by 93.10, while resistance is around 99.50 levels respectively. A break below 94.60 will be considered favorable to bears and accelerate a further decline. Also note that the US dollar index has bounced off the Fibonacci 0.618 retracement of the earlier downswing between 104.00 and 89.20 levels. High probability remains for a bearish reversal from here.

Trading plan:

Potential drop to 95.00 against 100.00

Good luck!