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16.06.2023 03:28 PM
每月DAX分析。
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黑線-阻力

紅線-熊市RSI背離

綠線-支撐趨勢線

DAX正在交易新的歷史高點。在之前的文章中,我們指出技術趨勢仍然保持看漲,只要價格保持在綠色向上傾斜的支撐趨勢線之上,牛市就是安全的。在日線圖中,RSI繼續提供熊市背離信號。這只是一個警告。我們認為近期上行潛力有限,僅能上漲到16,500。目前存在回調的可能性增加。然而,市場仍未給出逆轉信號。

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紅線-每月的熊市RSI背離

放大並觀察DAX的月圖表,我們可以看到RSI的低點,提供了每月第三個熊市背離。當然,如上所示,熊市背離不應被用作逆轉信號。價格繼續創造較高的高點。熊市背離在這裡是為了增加我們對趨勢減弱的警覺。 RSI在這裡作為補充工具。我們需要看到價格突破關鍵支撐水平,才能呼籲進行重大逆轉。在每月的基礎上,DAX有潛力移動到16,900,然而,潛在的回撤可能會將指數至少推向14,700。

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